Important Information

The following points must be considered when using the ‘Selector’ tool and exceedance plots.

Caveats

• The tide-gauge data used in this analysis was provided by the Australian National Tidal Centre and is in the process of being verified by the ACE CRC for our purposes. This process results in data which is of the best quality that is practically achievable at this time, although some unresolved errors may remain. Locations where data have been verified are flagged as "Verified"; locations where data have yet to be verified are flagged as "Preliminary". Preliminary data should be used for indicative purposes only.
   
  
• The IPCC projections of sea-level rise used in these calculations involve considerable uncertainty, arising from imperfect understanding both of the science and of the world's future emissions.
   
  
• These results relate to the increase in the probability of extreme events caused by a rise in mean sea level; they do not make any projections based on changes about the mean.
   
  
• These results do not include effects of wave runup. They also only include the effect of wave setup to the extent by which it affected the specific tide gauge.
   
  
• These results were developed using data from tide gauges with sufficient quality and length of data to permit robust analysis. Care should be taken when using these results for locations  other than those used here.
   
  
• The method used to derive the future probability distributions, although using standard statistical techniques, has not yet been formally peer-reviewed by the wider scientific community. A manuscript describing the method has been submitted to the journal, Climatic Change.