www.acecrc.org.au Estimating Sea-level Extremes in an Uncertain Future

Welcome

Sea-level rise during this century will lead to a significant increase in both the likelihood and frequency of flooding events from the ocean. This web tool allows you to select one of 29 locations around Australia (for which there is good existing sea-level data), a future greenhouse gas emission scenario and the period during which you require the flooding risk. The tool will then output a graph indicating the probability of experiencing at least one flooding event during this period (red line) for a range of design heights. The blue line indicates the equivalent probability curve for conditions of constant sea level, set at the value for the year 2000.

Update

The output plots from the web tool have been revised, adding a second page to each PDF file. The first page is identical to the plot in the earlier version (except that the processing date and time have been updated). The second page is similar to the first except that a nonlinear scale has been used for the exceedance probability, so as to expand the scale at high and low probabilities.This second format is often easier to use. Feedback on the relative usefulness of these two formats would be welcome.

Register

If you are not currently registered but would like to utilise this tool you will need to complete our online training first. Click Here to Access.

If you have completed training: Click Here to Register.

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The Climate Change Adaptation Program - An Australian Government initiative

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Last Modified: 15 Aug 2011, 8:51am
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